BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
New Mexico 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
New Mexico 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.64 |
27.52 (+2.89) |
36.20 |
36.01 (-0.19) |
32.83 (-3.18) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
393.73 |
370.38 (-23.35) |
482.40 |
512.51 (+30.11) |
459.21 (-53.30) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.89 |
5.39 (-0.49) |
6.69 |
6.80 (+0.11) |
6.27 (-0.53) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
37.36 |
38.06 (+0.70) |
44.20 |
55.54 (+11.34) |
48.98 (-6.55) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
414.55 |
439.73 (+25.19) |
481.40 |
554.82 (+73.42) |
511.66 (-43.16) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
7.23 |
7.52 (+0.29) |
7.54 |
8.63 (+1.10) |
8.22 (-0.42) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-24 |
Montana State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 31-35 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-01 |
@Arizona |
26.98 |
58.22 |
+31.23 |
85.20 |
0.10% |
L 39-61 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Auburn |
24.80 |
51.77 |
+26.97 |
76.56 |
6.74% |
L 19-45 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Fresno State |
30.38 |
39.88 |
+9.50 |
70.26 |
34.77% |
L 21-38 |
0-4 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@New Mexico State |
40.97 |
35.71 |
-5.26 |
76.68 |
58.44% |
W 50-40 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Air Force |
33.20 |
26.79 |
-6.42 |
59.99 |
60.29% |
W 52-37 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Utah State |
51.88 |
53.83 |
+1.95 |
105.72 |
46.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Colorado State |
35.70 |
41.92 |
+6.21 |
77.62 |
40.04% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Wyoming |
37.96 |
41.95 |
+3.99 |
79.90 |
43.60% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@San Diego State |
35.63 |
34.45 |
-1.18 |
70.08 |
51.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Washington State |
28.30 |
62.55 |
+34.25 |
90.85 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-12-01 |
@Hawai'i |
36.50 |
36.78 |
+0.28 |
73.28 |
49.55% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
4.38% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
19.21% |
4.38% |
95.62% |
| 4-8 |
32.91% |
23.60% |
76.40% |
| 5-7 |
28.99% |
56.51% |
43.49% |
| 6-6 |
12.37% |
85.50% |
14.50% |
| 7-5 |
2.13% |
97.87% |
2.13% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.40% |
| 2-10 |
3.48% |
| 3-9 |
11.97% |
| 4-8 |
22.83% |
| 5-7 |
27.23% |
| 6-6 |
20.75% |
| 7-5 |
10.09% |
| 8-4 |
2.80% |
| 9-3 |
0.43% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |