BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
New Mexico 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
New Mexico 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.64 |
27.52 (+2.89) |
34.10 |
31.93 (-2.17) |
31.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
393.73 |
370.38 (-23.35) |
500.20 |
489.94 (-10.26) |
489.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.89 |
5.39 (-0.49) |
7.14 |
6.99 (-0.15) |
6.99 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
37.36 |
38.06 (+0.70) |
38.30 |
43.44 (+5.14) |
43.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
414.55 |
439.73 (+25.19) |
473.80 |
504.93 (+31.13) |
504.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
7.23 |
7.52 (+0.29) |
6.93 |
7.42 (+0.49) |
7.42 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-24 |
Montana State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 31-35 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-01 |
@Arizona |
34.72 |
40.08 |
+5.36 |
74.79 |
41.40% |
L 39-61 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Auburn |
26.00 |
43.56 |
+17.56 |
69.55 |
21.83% |
L 19-45 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Fresno State |
33.08 |
37.95 |
+4.87 |
71.04 |
42.19% |
L 21-38 |
0-4 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@New Mexico State |
46.07 |
32.74 |
-13.33 |
78.82 |
71.38% |
W 50-40 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Air Force |
29.85 |
27.18 |
-2.67 |
57.03 |
54.28% |
W 52-37 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Utah State |
48.62 |
47.94 |
-0.69 |
96.56 |
51.10% |
W 50-45 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Colorado State |
28.50 |
36.02 |
+7.52 |
64.52 |
37.93% |
L 6-17 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Wyoming |
38.39 |
31.28 |
-7.11 |
69.67 |
61.40% |
L 45-49 |
3-6 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@San Diego State |
33.76 |
29.05 |
-4.71 |
62.82 |
57.56% |
W 21-16 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-17 |
Washington State |
32.24 |
51.28 |
+19.04 |
83.52 |
19.46% |
W 38-35 |
5-6 |
| 2024-12-01 |
@Hawai'i |
32.60 |
30.11 |
-2.49 |
62.71 |
53.99% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
45.65% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
54.35% |
45.65% |
54.35% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.08% |
| 2-10 |
0.68% |
| 3-9 |
3.60% |
| 4-8 |
10.42% |
| 5-7 |
19.80% |
| 6-6 |
24.76% |
| 7-5 |
21.60% |
| 8-4 |
12.61% |
| 9-3 |
5.03% |
| 10-2 |
1.24% |
| 11-1 |
0.17% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |